Finanzmarkt: Budgetausblick 2024/25 - APA Ots

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Post on Nov 05, 2024

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Finanzmarkt: Budgetausblick 2024/25 - APA ots

The Austrian Press Agency (APA) has released its latest report on the financial market, providing an outlook on budget expectations for 2024/25. This comprehensive analysis delves into key economic factors, potential risks, and the overall outlook for the Austrian economy.

Key Takeaways from the APA ots Report:

• Economic Growth: Despite facing global headwinds, the Austrian economy is expected to experience moderate growth in 2024 and 2025. The APA estimates a growth rate of around 1.5% for both years, driven by strong domestic demand and a gradual recovery in investment.
• Inflation: Inflation remains a significant concern, but it is projected to gradually decline in the coming years. The APA anticipates inflation to fall to around 2.5% by the end of 2024 and stabilize at around 2% in 2025.
• Public Finances: The Austrian government's budget deficit is expected to shrink in the coming years, with the APA forecasting a deficit of around 1.5% of GDP in 2024 and 1% in 2025. This positive development is attributed to strong economic growth and ongoing efforts to control public spending.
• Interest Rates: Interest rates are expected to remain elevated in the near term, reflecting the ongoing fight against inflation. The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to continue raising interest rates in the coming months, although the pace of hikes is expected to slow down as inflation subsides.

Potential Risks to the Outlook:

• Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing war in Ukraine and geopolitical tensions in other regions pose significant risks to the global economy. These uncertainties could disrupt supply chains, increase inflation, and slow economic growth.
• Energy Crisis: The ongoing energy crisis, fueled by the war in Ukraine, could lead to higher energy prices and put pressure on businesses and consumers.
• Recession Risk: While the APA does not anticipate a recession in Austria, the risk remains present. Global economic slowdown, rising inflation, and tightening monetary policy could all contribute to a recessionary scenario.

Conclusion:

The APA ots report provides a valuable overview of the Austrian financial market and budget outlook for 2024/25. While economic growth is expected to remain moderate, inflation and interest rates are likely to pose challenges. The Austrian government's fiscal policies and the ECB's monetary policy will play a crucial role in navigating these challenges and ensuring a sustainable economic recovery.

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